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Ideas For Sale

The Big Idea A handful of entrepreneurs are building marketplaces designed to hook up creative thinkers with businesses that need them. Is the world ready for an eBay of ideas? Anyone who has spent time hunting for his glasses only to discover them on the bridge of his nose can relate to Sanjay Goel’s feelings when he finally came up with the business idea for which he had been searching for half a year. The idea was this: to build a Web site for ideas. Ideas are now widely regarded as the lifeblood of the economy. By some measures the market for the transfer of intellectual property has hit $100 billion. Increasingly, organizations are looking outside the ranks of employees to find these ideas. Last year, for example, mining company Goldcorp Inc. offered a total of $500,000 for the best ideas for getting 6 million ounces of gold out from under a lake in Ontario. The incentive paid off so well that the Canadian company upped the ante in March, offering a total of $2 million for other stellar gold-mining ideas. You can’t even say it’s not rocket science: NASA recently called on the world at large to come up with a scheme for launching a probe to Pluto for less than $500 million, having scrapped its own, more expensive plans. Meanwhile, hundreds of thousands, and possibly millions, of people routinely generate ideas that could conceivably make someone a lot of money or otherwise improve the lot of some subset of humankind, but they’re clueless about what to do with them. Send them uninvited to a company? Call a patent lawyer? Hire an intellectual-property agent? Start a company? Take out an ad? All are avenues conventionally taken by those imaginative thinkers who don’t simply let their ideas die on the vine. But maybe a better notion is to bring the Internet’s aggre- gating capabilities to bear on idea matchmaking, in much the same way that eBay has brought together buyers and sellers of collectible goods. And so it was that the company Goel and Sharat Singh founded, called Ideas.com, along with a small pack of competing Web sites, intended to pull in orphaned ideas and funnel them to businesses willing to pay cold, hard cash for the best of them. “We’re creating a marketplace of ideas,” says Goel. “The ideas that are now being wasted are extremely valuable to companies.” Trafficking in ideas, of course, entails complexities that Beanie Baby traders never had to worry about, including the daunting difficulties in determining and valuing ownership of ideas. But, as with so many dot-coms, the biggest barrier faced by Ideas.com and its competitors has been having to struggle with unproved revenue models in an investment market that has turned its back on Internet companies unlikely to turn a quick profit. Indeed, time may have run out on Ideas.com. On July 31, Goel and Singh were seriously considering shutting down the company. But in bringing his company as far as he did, Goel managed to raise a question that may continue to beguile companies and individuals for years to come: can the Internet help transport ideas across organizational boundaries and in doing so render obsolete the entire notion of corporate boundaries? HIDDEN JEWELS: “The ideas that are now being wasted are extremely valuable to companies,” says Sanjay Goel, founder of Ideas.com. Sanjay Goel was born in Delhi, India, to parents who expected him to become an engineer or a doctor. But Goel was fascinated with business and by age 12 had cofounded a thriving neighborhood magazine-rental stand. He dutifully trudged off to the Indian Institute of Technology in 1984, where he studied electrical engineering and secretly planned to start a business when he graduated. But, like many of his classmates, he felt obligated to first grab a master’s degree in the United States, and he ventured to UCLA. After a stint as a robotics researcher in Japan, Goel returned to California in 1990 and reinvented himself as a programmer specializing in finance. “I had zero background,” he says. “My whole thing is I’d rather fail doing something very ambitious than succeed doing something that’s not ambitious.” After a year of programming, Goel decided it was Wall Street or bust, so he loaded up his aging Honda Civic and headed cross-country. In New York City he had several interviews, to no avail. His credit cards were maxed out, so Goel decided he’d drive a taxi to make ends meet — only to learn that a taxi driver’s license would cost $300 — $290 more than he had. Still, he wouldn’t budge from his goal. “I’m either going to do what I want or nothing,” he says. “There’s nothing in the middle.” He was counting his change to see if he had enough money for a meal when Citibank called and offered him a position in its investment-banking division. By 1998 Goel had already been named the division’s managing director — a career rise of unheard-of velocity in the staid world of big-time investment banking. Despite the success and his indulgence in on-the-edge hobbies — he carried his parachute with him on business trips, began flying airplanes and helicopters, climbed Mount McKinley, and started motorcycling and windsurfing — Goel became increasingly restless. In 1999 he realized that, for all his daring exploits, he had been keeping his back turned on the biggest adventure of all: building a company from scratch. Goel came up with a sensible course of action: develop a business plan, get funding, and then resign from his position. He then promptly rejected his own advice and quit on the spot. “It had to be a clean break,” he says. “I have enough confidence in myself to know that for the second time in my life I was going to restart my career.” Goel had already come up with what he thought was a golden business idea: an innovation marketplace. Now he had to figure out how to make such a thing work. He took to spending his days at the New York University Law Library, reading about innovation. “The books were telling me that companies understand the value of innovation, but that they haven’t found an optimal way to deal with it,” he says. But what sort of business could close that gap? For months Goel researched the problem and couldn’t nail down an answer. Then, as if in tribute to the adventitious nature of idea generation, the solution came to him in his sleep. “I woke up and said, ‘Now I’m ready for this,” he recalls. The idea behind Ideas.com was simple enough. Anyone could post to the site a brief description of an idea. Corporate executives in need of an R&D boost paid a fee to become affiliated with the site, along with monthly fees to maintain their affiliations. The executives perused the postings, and if they liked what they saw, they could negotiate directly with the poster. Postings described such things as a Web-based system for taking opinion polls; a laboratory bench that prints documents; and a heated, rollable pad for covering a sidewalk before a snowstorm. Companies paid commissions to Ideas.com of as much as 30% on ideas that they bought. (Neither Goel nor his customers will divulge how high any of those fees ran, except to say that the prices depended on company size and other unnamed variables.) Idea contributors paid nothing. If Goel had had any doubts about the plan’s viability, they evaporated when he shared his idea in late 1999 with Venky Harinarayan, a former UCLA classmate who had sold his own dot-com, Junglee, to Amazon.com in 1998 for $250 million. “I had been talking about it for 30 seconds when he told me to stop. I thought he was going to kick me out of his office, but he immediately offered to invest,” Goel says. Harinarayan brought in his two Junglee cofounders, and the three chipped in $1.2 million to get Ideas.com off the ground. It launched last November with 15 employees. Among the executives who joined the start-up’s board of advisers was John Seely Brown, the near-legendary former director of Xerox’s ultrainnovative Palo Alto Research Center. Things can get prickly in the field of idea vending when, for starters, a potential buyer notifies an idea poster that he or she wants to hear more about the idea. To sell the idea, the author must spell it out to the prospective purchaser. But once the idea is explained, the business could take it and run with it without paying. “How do you simultaneously advertise what an idea is while maintaining it as a secret?” asks Stephen Margolis, head of the economics department at North Carolina State University. For that reason, he says, economists call an unshared idea a form of “impacted information,” meaning that it is hobbled by a breakdown in market forces. Goel was well aware of the dilemma. “It was the first and main issue we had to deal with,” he says. To get around it, the site encouraged idea sellers to ask prospective buyers to sign nondisclosure agreements (NDAs). Sellers were urged to enlist the “principle of incremental disclosure” — that is, to unveil the idea in layers of increasing specificity. After each layer was revealed, the buying company could demonstrate its good faith with a payment or by upping the price it was proposing to pay for the idea. If negotiations broke down, the buyer left the picture, in theory without having seen enough details to implement the idea. Thus one Ideas.com contributor listed an idea for a “Computer Mouse (special type)” in this oblique manner: “It is a normal mouse with some very useful additional features.” More details were available to “serious buyers,” he or she noted. In fact, incremental disclosure is the means by which the business world has long handled the sale of trade secrets. Trade secrets are designs and processes that aren’t patented, typically because their owners fear that competitors will glean the secret from the patent file and find a way to implement it without violating the strict confines of the patent. (Think Coca-Cola recipe, which has never been patented.) Incremental disclosure became particularly popular in the 1970s, after Asian companies proved maddeningly adept at turning U.S. businesses’ own innovations against them. “Certain offshore organizations with far more experience than us would send armies of guys over to look at information on the pretext of evaluating the company for a joint venture,” says Kathryn Rudie Harrigan, Henry R. Kravis Professor of Business Leadership, at Columbia Business School. “These people were actually intellectual-property vacuum cleaners, and they got away with it until U.S. companies became more savvy and found ways to break their information into pieces with a pricing schedule.” Goel concedes that NDAs and incremental disclosure don’t offer ironclad protection against unscrupulous companies bent on stealing ideas. But he insists that most idea sellers recognize that unethical companies are the exception. “Individuals generally have a sense that companies will treat them fairly,” he says. “It’s in a company’s interest to reward someone for contributing an idea. The value of an uncooked idea is generally a small fraction of the value which the company is going to derive from it. Buying an idea isn’t a one-shot transaction, it’s a magnet for attracting the best ideas going forward.” In other words, the best way to make sure smart thinkers send you their most valuable ideas — as they come up with them — is to buy their half-baked ideas now. Ronald S. Jonash, managing director of Arthur D. Little’s Global Technology and Innovation Management Practice and chief of innovation at ADL, agrees that companies need to be cautious about leaving idea generators feeling exploited. Jonash has worked with the automotive-supply industry and says that employees at many supply companies are not inclined to share new ideas with General Motors because of its reputation for taking ideas and developing them on its own. Chrysler, meanwhile, paid some suppliers to develop promising ideas in exchange for the exclusive rights to the resulting product for two years. That — along with other creative relationships with suppliers — is why Chrysler became the preferred customer of more than 75% of all suppliers, says Jonash. HIGH RISK, HIGH REWARD: “I’d rather fail doing something very ambitious than succeed doing something that’s not ambitious,” says Goel. Even if an Ideas.com posting attracted a company that wanted to do the right thing, the formidable task of placing a value on the idea remained. Typically, the buyer and the seller would take their own shots at coming up with a value and then the negotiations would begin. “When it comes to assessing an idea’s worth before the idea is implemented, wilderness is a good word for describing the position you’re in,” says North Carolina State’s Margolis. In cases where a reasonable sales estimate can be made for products based on the idea, he notes, a royalty of 2% to 10% of revenues is a rough rule of thumb. But if the product couldn’t exist without the idea, he adds, the figure is frequently 30% of revenues and can go even higher. The amount may dip to a tiny fraction of a percent if the idea represents a slight improvement in an established product, such as a better knob in a car. Things only get more complicated from there. In most cases, it’s not clear up front whether an idea will end up being worth implementing at all, let alone how well the resulting product will sell. “Generally speaking, an idea by itself is worth nothing,” says Mel Lazar, managing partner of Lazar Levine & Felix LLP, a New York City accounting firm that specializes in business valuation. “The question is, Can you take that idea and put it into a business in a form that will generate income?” For that reason, Lazar thinks the chances that a company will pay much money for an idea it spots in a Web-site posting are small. And even if it is willing to pay, it will probably enlist a hardball negotiator to get it cheaply. “The average guy would get run over,” he says. Goel doesn’t argue with the suggestion that the majority of posters are unlikely to score big financially. But he points out that for many idea authors, money isn’t the main point. “A large number of people are very happy just seeing their idea taken to fruition, even if they never get paid for it,” he says. “If you come up with an idea for a new windshield wiper and it gets implemented by an automaker and before you know it millions of cars around the world are using it, that’s a very powerful experience.” Of course, the man who had that experience, an inventor named Robert W. Kearns, spent decades in court trying to get automakers to pay up, eventually receiving $30 million. Still, Goel has a point: the average person who comes up with a modestly good idea isn’t likely to hold out for big bucks at the almost certain cost of seeing the idea ignored. In any case, even if the site had been frequented by the most fair-minded of buyers, the vast majority of ideas posted there didn’t seem destined for the big time. Consider this posting, from “skankinARTboy,” for a “Wider Salsa Container”: Hey tostitos — i am a lazy college student. I buy nachos and chips all the time, and i personaly hate that i cannot dip my chips into your tiny containers. Half-way empty your container becomes impossible to dip into. I undestand you can pour it out but guess what? America is lazy, and convience is the key to marketing. So shorter but wider container, same glass cost, it hold the same amount and it is better for all lazy people who sit and eat your chips and salsa on the couch. To help idea buyers skip the junk and root out the gems, Goel worked on “reputation engines” that would have enabled at least some site visitors to rank idea sellers. But he warns that ranking ideas isn’t as reliable as ranking baseball cards on eBay. “It’s hard to say that an individual who in the past has not come up with good ideas will not come up with good ideas in the future,” he says. Conversely, he adds, someone who has had one good idea may not ever come up with a useful idea again. He would not allow sellers to rank buyers. “Everybody believes their idea is very powerful and that it deserves significant reward,” he says. Clearly, posting a random idea in the hope that a company will seek it out and buy it is a long shot. But Goel built some twists into Ideas.com that were intended to strengthen the odds. One was that a company could pay Ideas.com to allow posters to submit ideas for that company only. In fact, of the 50,000 ideas that the site received, 48,000 were such “dedicated” ideas. Unfortunately, many of them were addressed to companies such as Apple and GM that didn’t pay Ideas.com for the privilege of receiving ideas. But Goel didn’t mind. He used the homeless missives to entice those companies to join. Of course, corporations have always received unsolicited ideas from eager innovators, and in general it’s caused them giant headaches. Ideas from the public tend to be not only less than earth-shatteringly useful but also not unique. ADL’s Jonash explains that even in-house ideas typically aren’t original. For instance, after a recent productive brainstorming session that ADL had with a corporate client’s scientists and managers, research revealed that most of the resulting ideas were already known to the industry. But try telling that to the proud idea submitter who is promptly blown off by a corporate R&D manager, only to see his or her idea appear in a product the next year. Large companies are so routinely hit with lawsuits by such sincere but misguided idea producers that, notes Margolis, many have set up departments whose sole function is to ensure that over-the-transom ideas almost never make it to the desk of any employee who might be working on a similar project. From that perspective, a steady stream of unsolicited ideas doesn’t seem like the answer to the business world’s dreams. That’s one reason more-experienced inventors and idea producers often turn to intellectual-property agents who shepherd submissions to corporate buyers and negotiate deals. That’s all well and good, says Goel — if you don’t mind paying commissions of 15% or more and waiting a year to get an answer. Why not let the Internet do what it’s best at? Goel asks — which is avoiding the need for a middleman and eliminating the friction. In fact, Goel Offered an even more compelling use of the Internet than giving idea generators a chance to promote their ideas to corporate buyers. He helped companies put their problems in front of idea generators. When a fee-paying company wanted the public to try its hand at coming up with a winning idea, it posted an “Idea Quest.” Coca-Cola offered $5,000 each for two Idea Quests: “an energized packaging system” and “a new fun and healthy kids’ drink.” And Sears ponied up $5,000 for the best idea for “hand and bench tools for the 21st century.” Ideas.com also wrote its own Idea Quests. Those quests were by far the more interesting, including “new personal handheld devices” and “a better election process for the U.S.” The Idea Quests from outside companies, in contrast, had a public-relations feel to them. Which was exactly as it should have been, says Jonash. He argues that the real benefit of soliciting ideas from the public is not to get usable ideas but rather to make customers feel like part of the team and to provide market research. Steven Kirn, former vice-president of innovation and organization development for Sears, agrees that opening up a dialogue with customers is one of the big payoffs of soliciting ideas. “We wanted an effective and efficient way to make customers feel there’s a point of contact where they can tell us what they’re thinking,” he says. But Kirn also insists that Sears was pleased with the results of the Idea Quest. “Out of 130 to 150 ideas sent in, probably about 12 to 15 of them were pretty viable,” he says. “That’s not a bad ratio of ideas to ideas worth thinking about.” The winning idea — for an improved wet-dry vacuum attachment — might never have made it to the right person’s attention at Sears if it hadn’t been for the contest, he adds. “In the past Sears didn’t have a consistent way to deal with submitted ideas,” he says. “Some might have made it to the fast track, but some probably withered.” Not surprisingly, many entrepreneurs see potential in a marketplace of ideas. Some, like Rob Brazell, coauthor of a 1995 book called The Idea Economy, have focused on mass-market ideas — that is, ideas aimed at Joe Consumer. Brazell, who founded a site named Ideaexchange.com, says, “I wanted the everyday useful idea that would deliver immediate return on investment to consumers.” The ideas that appear at Ideaexchange range from the mundane (how to keep your shoelaces from untying) to the offbeat (how to improve your singing range) to the esoteric (how to double your cattle yield without cutting your wheat yield). Idea buyers rate ideas. I bought an idea for $5 about how to reduce the number of lost signals on cell phones. I’m prohibited from revealing the details. But I can report that the notion was simple and helped a bit. People can also post idea requests on the site. I found one from a businessperson looking for an idea for a Web company, another from someone seeking a shark repellent, and one pleading for antiwrinkle secrets. Brazell is convinced there is gold in such trivialities. He charges idea generators for listing an idea for sale; they name their own price for their ideas. The seller splits any revenues with Ideaexchange. Brazell won’t disclose revenues or profitability but says he has $22 million to work with, all raised from private investors. By this past summer Brazell had expanded his vision of the company and planned to eventually provide paid content of many kinds, including a deep well of how-to information. He recently purchased the assets of the bankrupt eHow, a site that offers thousands of tips on everything from how to feed an orphaned kitten to how to save money on taxes. But Goel’s more direct competition came from sites like IdeaDollar.com, BrightIdea.com, and NewIdeaTrade.com, all of which are gunning for business-oriented ideas. Those sites don’t seem as polished or as well stocked with ideas and idea solicitations as Ideas.com did, but each has its own twist on the concept. It’s too soon to say which of those sites will catch on. Niaz Ahmed, founder of NewIdeaTrade, says that his willingness to let businesses access all ideas on the site without paying any fees gives his advertising-supported site a competitive advantage — at least for the time being. Ahmed, who won’t disclose the company’s financial details, admits, “How long we’ll be able to continue to offer this service for free, I don’t know.” Ideas.com’s short life is, of course, just about over. Visitors had downloaded more than a million pages by the summer, Goel says. The company had raised a second round of financing but was unable to raise a third. At press time Goel and Singh had laid off all their employees, and Goel was jetting off to London to interview, once again, for banking jobs. But Goel, ever upbeat, still believes in his dream. “One day,” he says gamely, “someone’s going to make a lot of money from it. It’s just not going to be us.” Had his financial prospects allowed it, Goel planned to expand his services. He wanted to set up a branded version of the site accessible through Coca-Cola’s Web site; there, visitors would have submitted ideas only to Coca-Cola. Creating branded idea sites was supposed to become an important source of revenues for Goel’s company as more and more businesses recognized the value of soliciting ideas but didn’t want the cost and hassle of building their own idea-handling system from scratch. And he was working on offerings that would have enabled client companies to set up versions of Ideas.com accessible only to specific groups — employees, for example, or suppliers and customers or outside professionals likely to be useful contributors. “These companies already spend a lot of money to reach out to these groups for ideas, even though they might already be members of their commu- nity of interest,” he explains. In fact, Goel had recently changed the name of the company to Ideation Networks Inc., to emphasize that Ideas.com was just one manifestation of a grander plan to set up many different idea-collection engines. Steven Kirn, for one, thinks that’s the right way to go. “Where I think we’re headed is that there will be some problems that we’ll want everyone in the world’s ideas on, and others where we’ll establish relationships with communities of inventors,” he says. Jonash, too, believes that companies will want a portfolio of “idea banks.” Some of the most successful idea networks, he notes, involve large corporations’ paying for the expertise of small companies. Most of the large pharmaceutical companies now work closely with small biotech companies, he points out, and in the computer industry Cisco has created a successful model for providing generous funding to small enterprises and then acquiring them on friendly terms if their technology pays off. Coca-Cola, meanwhile, recently created a sort of in-house incubator called Fizzion to fund and support start-ups whose services could be of value to Coca-Cola. Other large companies are likely to follow those models, and online idea swapping could become a standard part of corporate R&D. Small companies especially may be big beneficiaries of idea networks, since they’re less likely to have experts in-house. And they typically don’t have an army of people that they can send to conferences and trade shows to scope out new ideas, although those are among the best places to find them. Consider Cirrus Design Corp., a small manufacturer of aircraft in Duluth, Minn. Dean Vogel, vice-president of research and technology at Cirrus, notes that some of the company’s ideas for aircraft features come from randomly encountered sources. As an example, he offers the fellow who was ogling one of the company’s planes at an aviation show. The man casually observed that a minivan-style sliding door would make it easier to get into and out of the plane. Vogel overheard him, and Cirrus execs have since been thinking about how a sliding-door mechanism could be made lightweight enough for the plane. “If you can reach out to the world, you’ll be harvesting a lot more brains than you could afford to hire,” says Vogel. Goel had been planning to push the envelope even beyond Ideation Networks. For example, he speaks of creating networks that would enable everyone in a company’s “value chain” — that is, suppliers through customers — to put their heads together not just to trade formal ideas but to interactively solve problems, meet needs, and create new opportunities. But he appears to have also discovered that his concept for commercializing ideas is one idea that the world may not yet be ready to pay for. Even if that’s the case, Goel is not likely to give up permanently on his ambitions. “I don’t like to dabble,” he says. “I like to take my adventures all the way.” David H. Freedman is a contributor to Inc. Hold That Thought When does a simple thought become transformed into something you can buy and sell? Reporter Kate O’Sullivan spoke with some inventors, investors, and experts who’ve struggled with that question. Steve Jurvetson, managing director of venture-capital firm Draper Fisher Jurvetson, invests in early-stage companies. Kevin Rivette is coauthor of Rembrandts in the Attic: Unlocking the Hidden Value of Patents. Scott Randall founded FairMarket, which builds online auctions for such businesses as the Miller Brewing Co. John Kowalski, CEO of Load Hog Industries, turned his unlikely invention into a product that attracted the attention of Ford Motor Co. (See ” The Pickup Artist,” June 2001.) And Paul Moller built a company around his own invention — a flying car. (See ” This Is Rocket Science,” July 2000.) Here’s what they said about idea marketplaces. Is an online idea marketplace a valid business concept? Steve Jurvetson: “At some level I do believe that there’s a worldwide marketplace for information. … But I’m not sure there’s a thriving market for patentable ideas.” Paul Moller: “In the early ’70s I could have benefited if I had had such a process available to me. It would have maybe been a great way to get exposure for some of the other products I’ve developed.” What would it take to make something like this work? John Kowalski: “They’d have to build some credibility. Any exchange of soft product is really hard to track. Who’s buying? Who’s selling? What’s been sold? I would think anyone with a substantive idea would be concerned about throwing something like that into the barrel. It might be knocked off, and then you don’t get paid.” What could cause such companies to fail? Kevin Rivette: “If I’m going to download my novel idea into somebody else’s database, that completely eliminates my ability to get patents in other places in the world. Once you’ve made a publication for sale, bingo, you can’t get patent rights. Once you’ve put it up on the site, you’ve published it for sale. That is the triggering event at which point you should have filed for your patent application in most of the world.” What do you think of the notion of corporations’ offering branded idea marketplaces? Scott Randall: “I love the democratization of the idea-collection process. This is the truest form of listening to your customers. The goodwill generated would be enormous. Consumers will shower tremendous loyalty on those companies that are perceived as listening best to their needs. The major caveats would be the legal ownership questions, the potential disputes around people submitting similar ideas but not getting credit, and the royalties associated with paying the inventors.” Is this concept ahead of its time? Paul Moller: “Oh, no. I don’t think it’s ahead of its time at all. I think, like a lot of things, there will probably be half a dozen [companies] that come and half a dozen that go, and I think there will be one who eventually separates himself from the pack.” Please e-mail your comments to editors@inc.com.

Online 101: Marketing Your Web Site

In the few short years the World Wide Web has been open for business, banner advertisements have grown from a mere blip on the screen to a $2 billion industry. The ubiquitous flashing squares–now used to sell everything from computers to Beanie Babies–are arguably the most interactive form of advertising ever. Clicking on them allows netizens to link to more product information, submit orders, and even talk to online customer service reps. For Web-savvy entrepreneurs, banners provide an important new way to target potential patrons and get a leg up on larger competitors. To learn more about this evolving industry, Inc. Online talked to Jim Sterne, president of Target Marketing and a consultant to companies trying to create Internet strategies. Sterne is the author of three books about online marketing, including World Wide Web Marketing (J. Wiley & Sons, October 1998, $29.99), 2nd Edition. With Sterne’s help, we took an in-depth look at the business models that have powered the growth of banner ads. Banner Exchanges Banner-swapping services are the cheapest way for a small business to get more eyeballs (read Bronwyn Fryer’s ” Your Message Here” in Inc. Technology #1 1999). Here’s how they work: companies like Link Exchange and SmartAge invite small businesses to send them banners, which are circulated for free to member sites built around similar content. If, for example, an exchange member sells golf attire, its ad may appear at a site that sells golf clubs. The attire business, meanwhile, might receive an ad plugging a golf-club swap for kids. Banner exchanges usually only require that their members run the host’s banner on their own site. Some exchanges, for a small monthly fee, will even register your site with search engines and track how many people click through to your site. How effective is this method at building sales? On the upside, a banner exchange can bring your ad to the furthest corners of the Web and drive traffic to your site for free. The best will work hard to target your ad by learning about you and your customers. The downside? Banner networks often consist of smaller sites that get limited traffic; some exchange members may circulate poorly designed banners that clash with your site, according to Sterne.

Can You Survive the Ebay Economy?

Online auctions aren’t just for collectibles anymore. They’re selling everything from moving services to real estate — and they may be muscling into your turf. Online watch retailer Grandwatches sells Omega, Seiko, and other quality brand-name watches at steep discounts not only on its own Web site but also on eBay’s and Yahoo’s online auctions. The discounts are possible because Grandwatches operates with gross margins ranging from 1% to 12%, compared with as much as 50% at traditional jewelry stores. How does the company get by with such razor-thin margins? Low overhead, of course. In fact, overhead can’t get much lower than it does at Grandwatches. The company consists of only Omar Nuno, a full-time Medicare claims processor at HMO Kaiser Permanente in Pasadena, Calif., who stays up late at his home computer putting up listings for new merchandise and trading e-mail with his customers. “It takes me a couple of minutes to put up another watch,” notes Nuno. “I have a vacation coming up, so I should have time to double my listings.” Nuno’s company is an example of a class of tiny enterprises — call them “microbusinesses” — that have come into their own online and may well be giving conventional small businesses a run for their money. The Web was supposed to level the playing field between large and small companies. It hasn’t, because small companies’ Web sites have been buried out of view from consumers in a sea of competitive entries. Large companies, meanwhile, whether they’re conventional corporations fortified by brick-and-mortar sales or dot-coms wielding vast piles of cash hurled at them by giddy investors, are buying eyeballs via massive advertising campaigns. But what the Web has done is level the playing field between small businesses and the micro-businesses that until now barely showed up on anybody’s radar screen. Those microbusinesses are individuals without a substantial — or in many cases, any — business history or infrastructure behind them. Operating with virtually no overhead, typically with little inventory, and sometimes in legal gray zones, these one-person shows are often able to offer fire sale prices and still maintain a modest margin. And the billions of dollars in revenues that they in aggregate are piling up come, to a certain extent, out of the coffers of more traditional businesses. The market Microbusinesses are tapping into powerful markets. Grandwatches’ Nuno, for instance, has sold watches to customers in Belgium and Japan. Another example is Ed Ciliberti, a Pacific Grove, Calif., real estate broker who three years ago opened a booth at a local antiques mall. It was a pleasant hobby, but he wasn’t clearing much. Last September he tried his hand at selling on eBay, and within three months he had earned about $30,000 on sales of $70,000. An antique peanut roaster that he’d bought for $250, and that failed to sell at the mall or at local auction, went for $2,950 on eBay. A copy of the first issue of Playboy magazine, which he’d bought for $900 and had autographed by Hugh Hefner, went for $11,100. Now he spends 60 hours a week online, whereas his real estate activities have been pruned back to 15 hours. Although the major online auctions have long been known for collectibles, an important change has quietly taken place during the past year or two: the auctions have become popular conduits for everything from real estate to automobiles. “This isn’t the tchotchkes business,” says Tony Surtees, general manager of the Commerce Group at Yahoo, which runs the second-largest online auction. EBay, the granddaddy of online-auction sites, lists more than 130,000 computer items and 6,000 cameras. “We have never wanted to limit ourselves in any way, shape, or form to the collectibles market,” says Brian Swette, eBay’s chief operating officer. As a sign of the times, he notes, the company plans to relabel its thriving “sports memorabilia” section as simply “sports” to reflect the fact that collectibles are being shouldered aside by “practicals.” Still, Swette and other eBay employees refer to their site as a trading community, apparently to preserve the notion that the online auction has more in common with swap meets than with malls or other retail outlets. “We offer something more personal, more special,” says Swette. “Almost every item has some level of uniqueness to it.” Really? I did a few quick searches of eBay and came up with the following counts of listings: 295 for screwdrivers, 65 for guitar strings, 108 for staplers, more than 7,000 for sweaters, 4 for disposable diapers, and 10 for hamster cages. Throw in countless watches, cameras, and baseball cards, and that short list places eBay in direct competition with almost every retail store in the downtown area of the midsize suburb in which I live. There is certainly no shortage of buyers. On any given day about 1.5 million people visit eBay, which lists close to 4 million objects. According to Forrester Research Inc., in Cambridge, Mass., online auctions got $1 billion out of consumers in 1999, and the firm predicts that that number will rise to $19 billion by 2003. As for sellers, none of the online auctions release a detailed breakdown, but eBay’s Swette says that there are hundreds of thousands of casual sellers on eBay who pull in less than $2,000 in auction revenues a month, and at least 25,000 “power sellers” who rake in from $2,000 to $500,000 a month. Who are those power sellers? Again, the auctions themselves don’t give out details. But Munjal Shah, CEO of Andale Inc., a company in Santa Clara, Calif., that provides financial and other services to high-volume online-auction sellers, claims that about 60% of all power sellers are conventional businesses that have opened up online-auction arms, often after having struck out with their own Web sites. That was the case with Marcello Veloso, who opened his Natick, Mass., sports card store eight years ago. But the business really took off, he says, when he started selling cards on eBay, two years ago. He’s kept the store, largely because it provides a handy facility for auction surfing, inventory storage, and shipping. “Right now,” Veloso says, “the money is on the Internet.” The other 40% of power sellers, says Shah, are individuals. Why are so many people creating one-person businesses focused on online auctions? Because they can. “The online-auction markets are creating the lowest barrier to entry that has ever existed,” says Shah. Microbusinesses could even spring up in the rapidly growing business-to-business auction market. I went to Bizbuyer.com’s Web site, spent about three minutes filling out a form to register as a moving company — sure, I had liability insurance, and no, my state didn’t require a license — submitted it, and a moment later found a “You have buyers!” button waiting for me. Clicking on it brought up an invitation to bid on moving a 50-employee telecommunications company from Massachusetts to Alabama. If I had gone on to bid and won the business, I suppose I could have subcontracted the job out or rented a truck and hired some college students with moving experience. Voilà: instant commercial mover. The competitive advantages For anyone who wants to remain with a business old-fashioned enough that it encompasses such relics of the pre-eBay era as employees, offices, showrooms, catalogs, and the like, it’s worth considering what one is up against in microbusinesses. EBay’s Swette estimates that an individual power seller achieves from 5 to 15 times the return on assets that a conventional small business does. No wonder: Not only do power sellers avoid major sources of overhead, but since many of them work from their homes, they often can take more tax deductions as well. And there is widespread recognition that many aren’t paying all sales and income taxes on their online take. “At the antiques mall, everyone had to have a resale license, and the mall took out sales tax,” says Ciliberti, the online antiques seller. “Online I don’t have to pay taxes on sales outside of California, and there’s nothing the state can do about it.” If, despite a low or nonexistent overhead, decent profits still manage to elude a microbusiness, that’s not necessarily a showstopper. Since many microbusiness founders are part-time entrepreneurs or have gainfully employed spouses, they can in effect operate like miniature dot-coms, allowing other sources of cash to subsidize the low prices they need to offer to undercut conventional businesses. If they do make a profit, eBay won’t take much of it: a listing fee ranging from 50¢ to $2 and a final-value fee based on the winning bid’s sales price — 5% of the first $25, plus 2.5% of the amount from $25 to $1,000, plus 1.25% of the amount over $1,000. (The fees for automobiles and real estate are higher.) Amazon.com and Yahoo, meanwhile, charge sellers nothing for auction listings (in hopes of drawing businesses away from eBay). At his local antiques mall, in contrast, Ciliberti was paying $550 a month for his booth plus a 10% commission on all sales. Besides not needing money to plunge into online auctions or cyberboutiques, microbusinesses also don’t need any operational expertise. Companies like Andale set up auction listings, process credit card payments, and help with accounting and inventory management, all for a modest fee. Amazon’s cyberboutiques, which the company calls “zShops,” come with a button that allows many of Amazon’s more than 15 million customers to charge an item in the boutique to their credit cards with a single click. The cost for a zShop: $10 per month and 5% or less of the sale price. “You don’t have to touch product or invest capital to get into this business,” says Andale’s Shah. Think that customers’ concerns about getting ripped off by a fly-by-night auction seller will keep them coming to your store? Don’t count on it. The feedback system pioneered by eBay — and imitated by Amazon, Yahoo, and others for their auctions — provides a simple and convincing means for determining at a glance whether a seller is trustworthy. It works like this: if a seller does anything to annoy a buyer, the buyer can give the seller a black mark that lowers the seller’s prominently displayed rating. Buyers who are still hesitant can use inexpensive escrow services like i-Escrow Inc., which will hold onto a buyer’s payment until the purchased item has passed the buyer’s scrutiny. EBay offers buyers up to $175 worth of insurance at no charge, and Amazon guarantees its zShop customers satisfaction on purchases up to $1,000. A brick-and-mortar store has to build an identity in the public’s mind and then make sure it has products on hand to back up that identity. Microbusinesses, in contrast, with their ultrafast inventory turnover and automatic exposure to potential customers through product listings, can leap opportunistically from market to market without penalty. Veloso, the sports card seller, jumped into the Beanie Babies market before it peaked, made a killing, and then jumped out when it flattened and on into the then-nascent Pokémon market. “The online world gives the little guys the flexibility to change their entire inventory overnight,” says Robert Robicheaux, a professor of retail marketing at the University of Alabama. As for marketing, microbusinesses gain intimate, precisely targeted access to the largest aggregation of shoppers in the history of humankind, and at virtually no cost. On the online auctions or in the cyberboutiques, sellers are essentially guaranteed that their product listings will pop up in front of interested buyers on a more or less equal basis with those of larger businesses with large overheads. It doesn’t take much photography or copywriting expertise to create maximum appeal within a listing. There’s one other marketing edge a microbusiness can exploit, and from the point of view of conventional small businesses it might be considered an especially insidious one. That’s the ability to penetrate the Internet’s somewhat guarded network of virtual communities — the message boards, chat rooms, and e-mail lists that millions of people use to make friends, swap information, and let off steam. Nick Mannarino, president of Modern Performance Inc., in West Long Branch, N.J., has found himself up against that edge. Mannarino has been a longtime contributor to an e-mail list of 800 enthusiasts of Merkur, a German-made sports sedan imported to the United States in small numbers by Ford in the mid to late 1980s. Modern Performance provides custom components for Merkur. Last year a rather heated debate on the merits of one of the components all but took over the list for several days, but Mannarino, who not surprisingly knows more about the workings of the component than any other human on the planet, was utterly silent. He had to be; according to the list’s rules, he says, businesses aren’t allowed to plug their products in any way. That’s a standard rule of most electronic communities — and he knew from personal experience that the Merkur list’s moderator applies the rule strictly. So he kept his mouth shut. That enforced silence was particularly frustrating, notes Mannarino, because several of the people who had weighed in against the component — or against other components sold by Modern Performance and other specialty manufacturers — sell competing products. Some of those enterprising list members scavenge and recondition parts from junkyards, others make their own, and some buy them from manufacturers. Not only can the resulting products be found on Web sites, on online auctions, and in cyberboutiques, but in many cases they are openly advertised in messages on the mail list. Those people are running microbusinesses, of course, but because they don’t wrap themselves in the formal trappings of a real business, they slip in under the community’s radar and get to market directly to the most highly select audience imaginable, at zero cost. Microbusinesses are using such marketing ploys in virtual communities Internet wide. Says Robicheaux: “A business has to spend a few thousand dollars getting a mailing out, while others can spend a few hours in a chat room reaching thousands of people for free.” The entire world of online auctions and related microbusinesses is still rather small, accounting for perhaps 1% of annual U.S. retail sales. Relatively few owners of conventional businesses perceive their existence to be imperiled by online microbusinesses. But that will change if online auctions and cyberboutiques continue to grow explosively. The popularity of microbusinesses may have already begun to tilt the playing field away from even Web-savvy small businesses by rendering irrelevant many of their competitive advantages, turning their cost structures against them, and excluding them from the powerful new forms of online marketing wide open to microbusinesses. We may increasingly find ourselves living in a sort of “eBay economy,” in which small businesses face tremendous pressure either to invest heavily in sharply distinguishing themselves or to dramatically shed costs and switch competencies to beat microbusinesses at their own game. David H. Freedman is a contributor to Inc. Online Auctions: A Shopper’s Delight Like many shoppers, I’m willing to pay at least a small premium for the opportunity to buy locally. But occasionally, certain advantages of shopping online prove irresistible. For example, my wife and I recently bought a sleeper sofa from an online retailer because the delivered price was several hundred dollars lower than the price of any similar sofa we found in brick-and-mortar stores. We also do most of our grocery shopping online, saving us an hour or so of hassle every week. Another advantage of online shopping can be selection. That was the lure recently when I became interested in a particular diving watch, a Citizen product called the Aqualand. Though it’s not a rare or an exotic watch, it’s apparently specialized enough to fail to warrant shelf space at any retailer within striking distance of my home. So I hit the Internet. Surprisingly, an “Aqualand” search on AltaVista turned up only one slick comprehensive watch site of the sort that might reasonably be called a dot-com operation. The price at that site for the particular model of Aqualand I was interested in was $446.25. However, the search also turned up a few listings for boutique-type online shops, all of which had Yahoo addresses. Taking the hint, I went to Yahoo and searched its own internal shopping listings. Up popped 89 listings among Yahoo’s “cyber-boutiques” — low-cost sites on which anyone can list products at fixed prices — where prices for the watch dipped as low as $300. But Yahoo also alerted me that Aqualands were being offered at its online auctions. I checked out their listings and similar listings at the other major online auctions. I immediately discovered that among all the purchasing channels available to me, the real deals in Aqualand watches lay with those auctions. EBay had 19 of them for sale; Yahoo, 3; Amazon.com, 5. A few of the listed watches were used, but most were described as brand-new, in-the-box, warrantied merchandise, and some were going for less than $250. Some of the sellers seemed to be brick-and-mortar shops, whereas others seemed to be storeless individuals, but in most cases it was hard to tell exactly who or what the sellers were. All the listings had the same basic format, so that one from the Sharper Image wouldn’t necessarily have been any more prominent or slicker than one from an enterprising retired grandmother in South Bend, Ind. Retail Holdouts — But at What Price? “I hate the online world,” says Don True, the amiable owner of Country City Store, a cluttered shop tucked away on a quiet, mostly residential street in Manhattan’s trendy East Village. “It’s impersonal. Some of my customers talk about buying antiques online, but most of them come back to me. I think the prices aren’t that good on eBay, and people are afraid of ending up with a piece that’s chipped.” Down the block is Bernd Goeckler Antiques, a more spacious store where the antique-furniture prices run into the tens of thousands of dollars. No aversion to technology here: two large thin-screen monitors hooked up to state-of-the-art Macintosh computers are perched close to the entrance, and the shop has maintained a Web site for more than two years. But sell on eBay? No way, says the prim, bespectacled Bernd Goeckler. “That sort of thing happens at a lower level of the business,” he explains. Things look more promising at Howard Kaplan Antiques, a dark, expansive shop around the corner on a busy street, where I’m greeted by a youngish, gaunt man encased in black, who looks smirkily hip enough to be CEO of one of the Silicon Alley start-ups only blocks away. But the question of online auctioning gets me brusquely turned away. A morning spent hopping around this domain of $35-a-square-foot storefronts sheltering million-dollar inventories fails to turn up a single antiques shop owner professing interest in selling on eBay or its competitors. Something else that fails to turn up in my presence: a single walk-in customer. Meanwhile, on this same morning, bids are pouring in on well over 5,000 antiques listed on eBay alone, items ranging from a piano stool (minimum bid: $5.50) to a Maxfield Parrish architectural panel (minimum bid: $35,000 — so much for the “lower-level” theory). It seems a strange disconnect, but in fact it’s par for the course, according to Dave Brennan, director of the Small Business Institute at the University of St. Thomas in St. Paul, Minn. “Most brick-and-mortar businesses just don’t get it,” he says. According to the U.S. Small Business Administration, 70% of small businesses have no Web sales capabilities whatsoever. No Inventory? No Problem Some microbusinesses operate successfully with no inventory, thanks to the fact that online-auction customers are reconciled to a lag of a week or more between placing a winning bid and receiving the item. A seller can wait until an order is in before actually purchasing the item that he or she has just sold, adding perhaps a harmless extra day or two to the lag time. Tony Surtees, general manager of the Commerce Group at Yahoo, told me about one seller who looks for low-priced items in antiques shops, puts holds on them, snaps pictures of them with a digital camera, and throws them up at auction online. If he gets his minimum price on an item, then he goes back to the store and buys it; otherwise he cancels the hold. Or here’s what one watch seller states on its Yahoo cyberboutique: “AAA Jewelers … is not an authorized representative of all the manufacturers whose watches and jewelry are offered for sale. … To keep costs down, AAA Jewelers maintains a limited inventory and often obtains an item from its dealer network once an order is placed. In the vast majority of cases the item is shipped within 3-5 business days. … Some items may not be available.” I’m sure my local jeweler would be able to keep his costs down, too, if he could get away with telling customers that their watches would be in the store a mere five business days after they were paid for.